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Elon Musk’s Political Gamble Could Cost Tesla Big

Tesla is navigating stormy waters as CEO Elon Musk’s political associations and growing global challenges place the company at a critical crossroads. The EV giant reports earnings this week amid a backdrop of slumping sales, trade tariffs, and investor unease.

Tesla’s close alignment with President Donald Trump, particularly Musk’s high-profile involvement with the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), is proving to be a double-edged sword. Staying close to Trump could alienate customers globally — especially in China — while pulling away risks losing influence in Washington. Analyst Dan Ives calls it a “code red situation.”

While Tesla is less exposed to Trump’s 25% auto tariffs than some rivals, the financial strain is real. Musk admitted the tariffs’ cost is “not trivial.” China’s retaliatory 125% tariffs have already halted Tesla’s higher-end exports to the country, and further backlash may follow if Musk continues his vocal support for Trump.

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Tesla’s stock has dropped nearly 50% since December, reflecting investor anxiety over Musk’s government role and unmet promises. Protests, boycotts, and vandalism have escalated, and investor questions now focus on Musk’s divided attention and the need to refocus on Tesla’s core operations.

Amid the chaos, critical product rollouts like the robotaxi fleet and humanoid robots remain delayed or vague. With rivals like Waymo already launching services, Tesla’s delays could deepen investor doubt.

Tuesday’s earnings call may be a turning point. Clear answers on tariffs, China, and Musk’s future role in DOGE will be essential to steady the ship — or risk another sharp dive in confidence and market value.

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